The AI Safety Menu

All laws

Transparency report

Transparency report at launch. Publish a system card with risk assessment results before or when you deploy.

Lead costAlmost noneof America's lead over China, over 3 years
Cuts p(doom) by~0.03%from a 5% starting estimate
Holds up○ Training○ Lab's own use◐ Public release
Enact it on the menuSee the findings

What it does

When a lab releases a new frontier model, it publishes a short report on what the model is for, which risks it was tested for, and what the tests found.

Applies to: All frontier developers; extra content for large ones.

Where things stand

OpenAI publishes a system card with every frontier release (GPT-5.5 on April 23, 2026; GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026). Anthropic publishes system cards at launch and Risk Reports every three to six months. The legal document is the system card with a checklist.

Why it costs almost no lead

Labs already publish these on launch day. Formatting them to legal requirements costs almost nothing in research time.

Biggest unknown: Whether a legally required document ever finishes later than the launch it accompanies.

Why it lowers p(doom) by ~0.03%

Tells the public what a new model can do and what the lab tested before it shipped.

Disclosure alone changes little, but it gives outsiders what they need to catch problems.

The strongest case that it costs more

The definition of deployment is broad. GovAI found that in the first five months of 2026, the frontier models withheld from general release were instead given to select entities under trusted-access programs. If a transparency report is required before any third party touches the model, those programs would have to wait for the write-up. That could cost a week or two on the access clock per model, and it is why the high end of the range is a week.

The debate

For

Against

Sources

Rough starting points, not precise forecasts. Lead costs assume China doesn't depend on U.S. models, the case least favorable to safety laws, and count 3 years. On the menu you can change every assumption and put in your own numbers. Last priced 2026-09-26.