The AI Safety Menu

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Fast-track visas

Fast-track visas for AI researchers. Faster visas and green cards for top AI researchers.

Grows lead by~6 daysof America's lead over China, over 3 years
No p(doom) effectNonefrom a 5% starting estimate
Holds up○ Training○ Lab's own use○ Public release
Enact it on the menuSee the findings

What it does

Make it quick and easy for top AI researchers to get U.S. visas and green cards, for example by exempting U.S. STEM PhDs from green-card caps and expanding O-1 visas.

Applies to: AI researchers and STEM graduates seeking U.S. visas.

Where things stand

No AI-specific visa exists. The 2025 AI Action Plan contains no immigration measures. The Keep STEM Talent Act was introduced in 2025 without further action we could verify.

Why it gains ~6 days

Most AI talent in the U.S. arrives through universities and visas. Removing delays and caps adds researchers at the margin: about 2 days of progress a year in.

Biggest unknown: How many additional top researchers faster visas would actually bring or keep.

Its effect on p(doom)

Not a safety law. It brings more AI talent to America.

It changes the pace of U.S. progress, not safety practices. No clear effect on risk.

The strongest case that it costs more

Frontier labs already get the talent they want through existing visas; faster green cards mostly help people who would have come anyway. The gain could be close to zero.

The debate

For

Sources

Rough starting points, not precise forecasts. Lead costs assume China doesn't depend on U.S. models, the case least favorable to safety laws, and count 3 years. On the menu you can change every assumption and put in your own numbers. Last priced 2026-09-26.