The AI Safety Menu

All laws

Limit AI agents

Limits on autonomous AI agents. AI agents need a person's approval to move money, deploy code, get computing power or copy themselves.

Cuts lead by~3 weeksof America's lead over China, over 3 years
Cuts p(doom) by~0.2%from a 5% starting estimate
Holds up○ Training◐ Lab's own use◐ Public release
Enact it on the menuSee the findings

What it does

Frontier AI agents may not take consequential actions on their own: moving money, deploying code to live systems, acquiring computing power or copying themselves. A person has to approve each one, and no agent above a capability threshold may run open-ended without human oversight.

Applies to: AI agents built on frontier models, including those labs use internally.

Where things stand

Human confirmation before purchases or code changes exists only as voluntary product design, such as coding agents that ask before editing files. No law requires it.

Why it costs ~3 weeks

Agents are a growing share of what labs sell and of how they do research, so requiring sign-off slows both a little. About 6 days a year in.

Biggest unknown: How to define a consequential action, and whether sign-off stays meaningful when agents take thousands of actions a day.

Why it lowers p(doom) by ~0.2%

Keeps AI agents from moving money, grabbing computing power or copying themselves without a person approving.

Loss of control is most likely to start with an agent acting on its own: acquiring resources, copying itself or resisting shutdown. Requiring a human to approve those actions targets that path directly, though approvals can become a rubber stamp at scale.

The strongest case that it costs more

At the scale agents run, sign-off is either rubber-stamping or a brake that kills most of their value. 'Consequential action' is hard to define, and a U.S. rule would push use toward foreign and open-weight agents while slowing defenders who need machine-speed responses.

The debate

For

Against

Sources

Rough starting points, not precise forecasts. Lead costs assume China doesn't depend on U.S. models, the case least favorable to safety laws, and count 3 years. On the menu you can change every assumption and put in your own numbers. Last priced 2026-09-26.